Goodison Park’s 10 most iconic matchesThe second leg of the semi final of the Cup Winners Cup lives in inherited folklore as the best ever atmosphere at Goodison Park. We beat…1d ago1d ago
The power of ideas: notes on Zubok (2021)Recently I read “Collapse: the fall of the Soviet Union” by Vladislav Zubok. It is an impressive work — career defining — and packed full…Dec 12, 2024Dec 12, 2024
Probability estimates don’t always help decision making.In Spring 2011 Barack Obama had to decide whether to approve a US Navy SEAL raid on the compound in Abbottabad that was believed to be the…May 16, 2024May 16, 2024
Planning beats probability — Part 2I recently published an overview of Everton’s 2023 relegation battle, and I made the argument that our innate attempt to predict the…Mar 4, 20242Mar 4, 20242
Planning beats probability — Part 1In 2023 Everton were in a relegation battle. The team I support were in danger of dropping out of the Premier League, and I was…Mar 4, 20243Mar 4, 20243
Creating good multiple-choice question examsI can remember encountering multiple-choice questions (MCQs) as a student — I assumed that the instructor was neglecting their duties as…Feb 5, 2021Feb 5, 2021
Which way forward for Belarus?On Sunday, August 9th the people of Belarus will go to the polls for the 6th Presidential election since independence. The incumbent is…Jul 31, 2020Jul 31, 2020
Enlightened Management“Progress is sustainable, indefinitely. But only by people who engage in a particular kind of thinking and behaviour — the problem-solving…Jun 25, 2020Jun 25, 2020